Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 3.081643 3.684608 4.358290 5.164414 6.100301 7.150035 8.413942
2025-10-26 2.181110 2.938500 3.874526 5.106737 6.675300 8.593462 11.103286
2025-11-02 1.581006 2.360017 3.408658 4.902787 6.952283 9.636703 13.384646
2025-11-09 1.191878 1.948497 3.046144 4.720194 7.165964 10.557338 15.550499
2025-11-16 0.965217 1.709879 2.863148 4.727938 7.601731 11.780757 18.208893
2025-11-23 0.797172 1.520983 2.711027 4.739494 8.017582 12.988138 20.930667
2025-11-30 0.657345 1.346475 2.545522 4.692653 8.318109 14.029523 23.476128
2025-12-07 0.520307 1.145589 2.297415 4.463688 8.282666 14.526885 25.204181
2025-12-14 0.437090 1.027871 2.173684 4.425089 8.548155 15.512373 27.769598
2025-12-21 0.371842 0.931658 2.072111 4.407493 8.839182 16.553556 30.496382
2025-12-28 0.345356 0.912672 2.116761 4.668027 9.652404 18.543803 34.962261
2026-01-04 0.309464 0.864496 2.093469 4.790045 10.216449 20.138350 38.858193
2026-01-11 0.282733 0.833864 2.105365 4.990544 10.962581 22.140623 43.662503
2026-01-18 0.244918 0.766981 2.026880 4.991956 11.318776 23.461170 47.350033
2026-01-25 0.201682 0.674728 1.873831 4.809332 11.280416 24.035029 49.708149
2026-02-01 0.166348 0.594609 1.734432 4.635011 11.235110 24.583382 52.047780
2026-02-08 0.145476 0.551275 1.678333 4.644235 11.579273 25.916502 55.970446
2026-02-15 0.127632 0.512415 1.626691 4.656107 11.928226 27.282482 60.045891
2026-02-22 0.110112 0.469480 1.556004 4.610152 12.139933 28.380139 63.659138
2026-03-01 0.089399 0.408707 1.423112 4.384820 11.910021 28.532451 65.369699
2026-03-08 0.077395 0.375807 1.364836 4.346842 12.118050 29.629890 69.088041
2026-03-15 0.067576 0.348093 1.316828 4.329527 12.373296 30.846679 73.131352
2026-03-22 0.065233 0.350410 1.364178 4.585978 13.334260 33.691467 80.796723